廣交會70周年琶洲展館

广交会70周年:外贸老炮兒睇通呢個「中國第一展」Canton Fair at 70: What Veteran Traders Really Think of "China's No.1 Exhibition"

【鄭哥點評】【ZHENG GE REVIEW】

有後生仔問我,鄭哥,你做外銷咁多年,而家又有跨境電商、又有AI、又有社交媒體矩陣,仲使唔使去廣交會?

我話,等你見過外國客人真面目,現場驗完貨、傾完價、握手嗰下,你就知——網上傾100封郵件,唔及廣交會見一面。

2026年10月15號,第140屆廣交會就喺廣州琶洲開幕,剛剛撞正70周年。70年、140屆,從9600平方米到155萬平方米,從1200個客商到31萬,呢個展從未斷過。中國外銷有幾難,香港做外銷有幾難,廣交會就見證咗幾難。

第一幕:數字背後,係實打實嘅外銷體感

我哋先睇數據。

商務部公佈:今年1到8月,外銷進出口34.8萬億,增17.6%。出口增14.6%,進口增22%——進口跑得快過出口,貿易順差收窄4.7%,呢個係健康嘅勢頭。

海關總署口徑:上半年25.47萬億,增16.9%,連續4個月單月破4萬億。中國拉動全球貿易增長2.1個百分點,貢獻率20.3%,穩居全球貨物貿易第一大國。

但係,我做外銷26年,我知數字靚唔代表每個廠仔都好過。海關總署自己都提醒:全球通脹壓力未減,貿易壁壘增多,地緣衝突頻發,下半年穩外銷面臨不少風險挑戰。

聯閤國貿易和發展會議《全球貿易動態》報告讲:2026年全球經濟增速維持2.6%低位,美國關稅上升,製造業受衝擊最明顯,全球產供鏈承壓。

中國出口電子消費品工廠生產線
場景:中國出口工廠生產線,電子消費品質檢Scene: Chinese export factory production line, electronic consumer goods quality control
圖片由 AI輔助創作(Z-Image-Turbo)

第二幕:廣交會70年,唔只係展會,係信用體系

有外國客人問我,點解信你工廠?我話,你去廣交會,我哋面對面坐低,我護照給你睇,營業執照展示你,工廠視頻俾你睇,現場樣板你摸得到——呢個就係廣交會。

商務部講,139屆以來,境外採購商來自220個國家和地區。呢個數字背後,係幾十年积累的信用網絡。

第140屆,3.2萬家參展企業,其中專精特新、單項冠軍等優質企業超過1.1萬家,佔三分之一;64%的參展企業應用工業互聯網、人工智能等新技術;新產品和綠色產品佔比分別達到23.2%和26%,都創歷史新高。

廣交會現場中外貿易談判握手
場景:廣交會現場,中外商人握手傾單Scene: Canton Fair trade negotiation, Chinese and foreign businessmen shaking hands
圖片由 AI輔助創作(Z-Image-Turbo)

第三幕:AI進入外銷,但現場見面依然無可替代

商務部數據:跨境電商進出口上半年1.45萬億,帶動就業超過1000萬人,跨境電商企業AI應用率超過60%。

我哋做AI工具出身,當然知道AI幾犀利——客戶背調、询價回复、工廠篩選,AI幫我哋做得快晒。但係撒貝寧試完美食,現場話「快啲攞飯盒嚟」,呢個係AI取代唔到的瞬間。

廣交會的價值,唔只係展示產品,係建立關係。外國客人飛過嚟,唔只係為咗睇貨,係為咗見你個樣、知道你係邊個、感覺到你係否靠得住。26年外銷經驗告訴我,大訂單一定係見面傾出嚟嘅,唔係郵件寫出嚟嘅。

廣交會AI電子產品展位
場景:廣交會AI電子產品展位,新產品展示Scene: Canton Fair AI electronics booth, new products on display
圖片由 AI輔助創作(Z-Image-Turbo)

第四幕:東南亞抢單、非洲機會、一帶一路——機會複雜化

商務部數據:上半年對共建「一帶一路」國家進出口12.97萬億,增14.8%,佔外銷總值50.9%。對周邊國家進出口9.44萬億,增20.6%。對拉美、非洲分別增長16.2%和19.6%。

對非洲出口機電產品5341.1億,增長28.8%,光伏產品、輸變電設備、通用機械設備、汽車零配件都保持良好增長。非洲零關稅政策(2026年5月對53個非洲建交國全面實施)帶動非洲進口1938億,增23.5%。呢個係真實嘅增量市場。

但聯閤國報告提醒:美國關稅上升,製造業受衝擊,供應鏈正在區域化分散化。企業通過多元化供應商和將生產轉移至關鍵市場附近嚟降低風險。東南亞工廠而起緊,客戶開始分散採購。呢個係真實嘅變化。

一帶一路貨船與非洲港口
場景:一帶一路貨船抵達非洲港口,全球貿易物流Scene: Belt and Road cargo ship arriving at African port, global trade logistics
圖片由 AI輔助創作(Z-Image-Turbo)

第五幕:對於海哥,我哋點樣用好廣交會

我哋做跨境電商、賣AI算力、賣電子消費品,廣交會對我哋嘅價值喺邊?

第一,電子消費品採購商。10月15到19日第一期,家用電器、電子消費品、新能源汽車、照明產品——呢個係我哋的直接客戶群。見一面交換名片,後續郵件回复率提升3倍。

第二,AI算力客戶。技術裝備展區有服務器、雲計算、數據中心相關參展商,呢啲都係我哋算力服務嘅潛在客戶。見面带名片,加微信,Follow up。

第三,獲取市場信息。客人想要乜、競品做到邊、價格走到邊,廣交會係最直接嘅市場調研場景,唔使預算,帶眼帶耳就夠。

一句話總結

廣交會70年,唔只係中國外銷的晴雨表,係外銷人的信用基礎設施。數字暫時穩健,但逆風已在。外銷人靠乜突圍——靠AI工具提升效率,靠現場見面建立信任,靠多元化市場分散風險。三條路,缺一不可。
鄭哥 Hany

關於作者About the Author

鄭哥,90年代大學畢業,26年橫跨電子、家電、服裝、珠寶、教育、AI算力多個行業。做過中學教師、翻譯、外贸,現在搞七善門科技和星辰算力。口頭禪:「點解唔得?」Hany, university grad from the 90s, 26 years across electronics, appliances, fashion, jewelry, education, and AI compute. Former teacher, translator, trader. Now running Qishanmen Tech and Star Compute. Catchphrase: "Why not?"

A junior trader asked me: Hany, after so many years in export, with cross-border e-commerce, AI tools, and social media matrices — do you still need to go to the Canton Fair?

I said: once you've met foreign clients face-to-face, inspected goods on the spot, negotiated a price and shaken hands — you'll know: 100 emails online can't match one meeting at the Canton Fair.

October 15, 2026 marks the opening of the 140th Canton Fair in Guangzhou Pazhou — right on its 70th anniversary. 70 years, 140 sessions. From 9,600 sqm to 1.55 million sqm. From 1,200 visitors to 310,000. This exhibition has never stopped. How hard Chinese exports are, how hard Hong Kong traders work — the Canton Fair has witnessed it all.

Act 1: Behind the Numbers Is Real Export Body Heat

Let's look at the data first.

Ministry of Commerce: January–August, total import-export 34.8 trillion yuan, up 17.6%. Export up 14.6%, import up 22% — imports growing faster than exports, trade surplus narrowing 4.7%, a healthy sign.

General Administration of Customs: H1 total 25.47 trillion, up 16.9%, four consecutive months above 4 trillion. China drove 2.1 percentage points of global trade growth, contribution rate 20.3%, firmly the world's largest goods trader.

But after 26 years in export, I know: nice numbers don't mean every factory owner is doing well. Customs themselves warn: global inflation pressure hasn't eased, trade barriers are increasing, geopolitical conflicts frequent. H2 faces real risks.

Chinese export factory production line
場景:中國出口工廠生產線Scene: Chinese export factory production line
Image AI-assisted (Z-Image-Turbo)

Act 2: 70 Years of Canton Fair — It's Not Just a Trade Show, It's a Credit System

A foreign client asked: why should I trust your factory? I said: at the Canton Fair, we sit face-to-face, I show you my passport, business license, factory video, and you can touch the samples on the spot — that's the Canton Fair.

Ministry of Commerce: since the 139th session, overseas buyers from 220 countries and regions. Behind that number is a decades-old credit network.

The 140th session: 32,000 exhibiting enterprises, over 11,000 specialized and innovative champions, one-third of total; 64% applying industrial internet and AI; new products and green products at 23.2% and 26% respectively — both record highs.

Canton Fair trade negotiation handshake
場景:廣交會現場中外貿易談判Scene: Canton Fair trade negotiation
Image AI-assisted (Z-Image-Turbo)

Act 3: AI Has Entered Export, But Face-to-Face Meetings Are Still Irreplaceable

Ministry data: cross-border e-commerce imports/exports H1 reached 1.45 trillion yuan, creating over 10 million jobs, AI application rate among CBEC enterprises exceeding 60%.

We come from AI tools — of course we know how powerful AI is. Client due diligence, inquiry responses, factory screening, AI does it all faster. But when Sa Beining tastes good food and immediately says "quick, get me a lunchbox" — that's a moment AI can't replace.

The value of the Canton Fair isn't just displaying products — it's building relationships. Foreign clients fly over not just to see goods, but to see what you look like, know who you are, feel whether you're reliable. 26 years in export tells me: big orders are negotiated face-to-face, not written in emails.

Canton Fair AI electronics booth
場景:廣交會AI電子產品展位Scene: Canton Fair AI electronics booth
Image AI-assisted (Z-Image-Turbo)

Act 4: Southeast Asia Taking Orders, African Opportunities, Belt and Road — Complexity Increasing

Ministry data: H1 trade with Belt & Road countries 12.97 trillion, up 14.8%, 50.9% of total export. Trade with neighboring countries 9.44 trillion, up 20.6%. Latin America and Africa up 16.2% and 19.6% respectively.

Exports to Africa: electromechanical products 534.11 billion, up 28.8%; photovoltaic, power transmission, general machinery, auto parts all growing well. Africa zero-tariff policy (fully implemented May 2026 for 53 African diplomatic countries) drove imports from Africa of 193.8 billion, up 23.5%. A real incremental market.

But UN report: US tariffs rising, manufacturing bearing the brunt, supply chains regionalizing. Companies reducing risk through diversified suppliers and near-market production shifts. Southeast Asian factories rising, clients diversifying procurement. Real changes, not just "positive spin."

Belt and Road cargo ship at African port
場景:一帶一路貨船抵達非洲港口Scene: Belt and Road cargo ship at African port
Image AI-assisted (Z-Image-Turbo)

Act 5: For Us — How to Make the Most of the Canton Fair

For cross-border e-commerce, AI compute sales, and consumer electronics — where's the Canton Fair value for us?

First: Consumer electronics buyers. October 15–19, Phase 1: home appliances, consumer electronics, new energy vehicles, lighting — our direct customer base. Exchange business cards, email response rates triple afterward.

Second: AI compute clients. Technical equipment hall has servers, cloud computing, data center exhibitors — our compute service prospects. Exchange cards, add WeChat, follow up.

Third: Market intelligence. What clients want, where competitors are, where prices are heading — the Canton Fair is the most direct market research venue. No budget needed, just eyes and ears.

One-Line Summary

The Canton Fair at 70 is not just China's export barometer — it's the credit infrastructure for export people. Numbers are暂时 stable, but headwinds are already here. How do export veterans break through? With AI tools to boost efficiency, face-to-face meetings to build trust, and diversified markets to spread risk. Three roads, none dispensable.
鄭哥 Hany

關於作者About the Author

鄭哥,90年代大學畢業,26年橫跨電子、家電、服裝、珠寶、教育、AI算力多個行業。做過中學教師、翻譯、外贸,現在搞七善門科技和星辰算力。口頭禪:「點解唔得?」Hany, university grad from the 90s, 26 years across electronics, appliances, fashion, jewelry, education, and AI compute. Former teacher, translator, trader. Now running Qishanmen Tech and Star Compute. Catchphrase: "Why not?"